Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.600873 0.754723 0.919863 1.108371 1.315815 1.535561 1.784418
2025-02-16 0.409495 0.622719 0.872371 1.177093 1.531139 1.922958 2.383309
2025-02-23 0.291452 0.523813 0.815695 1.189545 1.639713 2.151478 2.765731
2025-03-02 0.183175 0.409886 0.719945 1.138350 1.660598 2.269702 3.015217
2025-03-09 0.105036 0.313021 0.627408 1.075269 1.653944 2.344831 3.205117
2025-03-16 0.058991 0.248297 0.566399 1.042876 1.677125 2.449072 3.423556
2025-03-23 0.037411 0.218599 0.550913 1.067350 1.769094 2.634226 3.736146
2025-03-30 0.019601 0.185040 0.523212 1.070551 1.830512 2.779740 3.999611
2025-04-06 0.006572 0.147458 0.481415 1.048557 1.855227 2.877150 4.202941
2025-04-13 0.003021 0.138345 0.488228 1.097369 1.974139 3.092456 4.549833
2025-04-20 0.000975 0.130183 0.495177 1.145520 2.091717 3.305931 4.894564
2025-04-27 0.000159 0.125201 0.507295 1.201155 2.219371 3.532262 5.255331
2025-05-04 0.000007 0.127999 0.538354 1.291763 2.402764 3.839148 5.727564
2025-05-11 NaN 0.120863 0.547938 1.349132 2.541733 4.091538 6.135780
2025-05-18 NaN 0.104626 0.534286 1.367251 2.624411 4.270314 6.451607
2025-05-25 NaN 0.073637 0.477761 1.310779 2.599087 4.307515 6.589924
2025-06-01 NaN 0.046691 0.418378 1.243020 2.553361 4.315033 6.688547
2025-06-08 NaN 0.030742 0.380478 1.207900 2.551699 4.377870 6.854329
2025-06-15 NaN 0.025654 0.377054 1.234393 2.640673 4.560918 7.172416
2025-06-22 NaN 0.018720 0.362014 1.237847 2.694473 4.696566 7.430018
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010816 0.334033 1.214066 2.705749 4.774220 7.612993
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010236 0.345122 1.266823 2.833874 5.009876 7.998649
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009638 0.355797 1.318786 2.960910 5.244259 8.382956